Outcome Summary
Chance to Thrive
--%
(>120% Start Capital)
Chance to Survive
--%
(Not Bankrupt, <120%)
Chance to Fail
--%
(Bankrupt in 5 Yrs)
Distribution of Final Capital
Shows the range of possible outcomes from 2,500 trials. The peak represents the most common result.
Bankrupt
Median: $--
Max: $--
Scenario Assumptions
Starting Capital
$--
Base Revenue/mo
$--
Volatility
--%
Fixed Costs/mo
$--
Variable Cost %
--%
Scenario
--
Controls & Scenarios
Cost Assumptions
Range: $0 – $1,000,000
Range: $0 – $200,000 (e.g., Rent, Salaries)
Range: 0% – 100% (e.g., Food, Hourly Labor)
Revenue Assumptions
Range: $0 – $200,000
Range: 0% – 100%. Standard deviation of revenue shocks.
Simulation Settings
"Descending" models a 0.5% revenue decay per month.
Range: 100 – 10,000. More trials = more accurate.